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How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

Lonely Planet: The world's leading travel guide publisher Shopping in Vietnam could give you conical The Science of Conjecture : Evidence and Probability before Pascal download ebook pdf hats, lacquerware bowls and flag T-shirts. All are fine - you can compare them with everyone else's. Or really get talking and bring home souvenirs that no one can match. Open the Vietnamese phrasebook and make this trip your own. * Comprehensive food section * Tips on cultural etiquette * Useful phrases for finding accommodations, dealing with health emergencies and hitting the town * Easy-to-use pronunciation guide * Two way dictionary and sentence builder Coverage includes: Basics, Practical, Social, Food and Safe travel. Authors: Written and researched by Lonely Planet and Ben Handicott. About Lonely Planet: Started in 1973, Lonely Planet has become the world's leading travel guide publisher with guidebooks to every destination on the planet, as well as an award-winning website, a suite of mobile and digital travel products, and a dedicated traveller community. Lonely Planet's mission is to enable curious travellers to experience the world and to truly get to the heart of the places they find themselves in.

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Author: James Franklin
Number of Pages: 520 pages
Published Date: 11 May 2015
Publisher: JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY PRESS
Publication Country: Baltimore, MD, United States
Language: English
ISBN: 9781421418803
Download Link: Click Here
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